NB - originally posted 20060707
..another bad market call thus far, though nothing like the short-vol biotech idea


When a fellow's mind turns to the gasoline market, he clicks on This Week In Petroleum. That fine Energy Information Administration publication has a section just for it. There you'll see charts like the stocks and prices charts above, as well as the two below.


In short: prices are high, demand is high, and production is high. Even storage is now average-to-high after dipping near the low end of its average band a couple months ago. If any of those gives, prices could move in a hurry, and in either direction.
FD: small short position in one US refiner, and thinking about crack spreads